PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 23%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.