PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 25%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Curveball 9%Sinker 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →