PITCHER MATCHUP

Janson Junk vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Janson Junk's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Janson Junk's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 24%Changeup 14%Sweeper 14%Curveball 10%Sinker 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Janson Junk, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.