PITCHER MATCHUP
Jake Bennett vs Tampa Bay Rays
How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Bennett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jake Bennett's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .236vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 27%Changeup 25%Sweeper 6%Curveball 5%Cutter 4%Unknown 1%
How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Bennett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .298
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1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .274
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TW Taylor Walls SH .262
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .273
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.