PITCHER MATCHUP
Jake Bennett vs Tampa Bay Rays
How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Bennett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jake Bennett's arsenal
Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .357Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sinker 30%Changeup 25%Curveball 8%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%Sweeper 1%
How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Bennett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .304
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1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TW Taylor Walls SH .266
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.