PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Bennett vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Bennett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Bennett's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .249vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 26%Sinker 25%Sweeper 7%Cutter 4%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Bennett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.