PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Bennett vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Bennett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Bennett's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .239vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 28%Changeup 25%Curveball 5%Sweeper 5%Cutter 4%Unknown 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Bennett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Colton Cowser LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →