PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Canning vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Canning's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Canning's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 27%Changeup 24%Knuckle Curve 7%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Canning, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Michael Massey LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →