PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Canning vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Canning's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Canning's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 26%Changeup 24%Knuckle Curve 8%Sinker 5%Cutter 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Canning, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 571 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyler Tolbert RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Tolbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.