PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Canning vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Canning's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Canning's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 26%Changeup 25%Knuckle Curve 8%Sinker 5%Cutter 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Canning, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 635 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.