PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Canning vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Canning's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Canning's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 26%Changeup 25%Knuckle Curve 8%Sinker 5%Cutter 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Canning, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.