PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Canning vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Canning's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Canning's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 27%Changeup 24%Knuckle Curve 7%Sinker 4%Cutter 3%Sweeper 2%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Canning, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →