PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Canning vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Canning's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Canning's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 27%Changeup 24%Knuckle Curve 7%Sinker 4%Cutter 3%Sweeper 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Canning, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Tommy Troy RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Troy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .267
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .198 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →