PITCHER MATCHUP
Griffin Canning vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Canning's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Griffin Canning's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 26%Changeup 25%Knuckle Curve 8%Sinker 5%Cutter 4%Sweeper 2%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Canning, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.