PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 11%Slider 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.