PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.