PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 22%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 11%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.