PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Curveball 22%Sweeper 21%Cutter 12%Sinker 10%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WP Wenceel Pérez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wenceel Pérez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.