PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.