PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 590 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-25 game page →