PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.