PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 24%Curveball 21%Sinker 11%Cutter 9%Knuckle Curve 1%Slider 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.