PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 22%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 11%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 590 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.