PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.