PITCHER MATCHUP
Gavin Williams vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Gavin Williams's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 637 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .361
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.