PITCHER MATCHUP
Gavin Williams vs Milwaukee Brewers
How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Gavin Williams's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 24%Curveball 21%Sinker 11%Cutter 9%Knuckle Curve 1%Slider 1%
How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 BT Brice Turang LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 603 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 WC William Contreras RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DH David Hamilton LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.