PITCHER MATCHUP
Gavin Williams vs Milwaukee Brewers
How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Gavin Williams's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%
How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 BT Brice Turang LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 WC William Contreras RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.