PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Curveball 22%Sweeper 21%Cutter 12%Sinker 10%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 WC William Contreras RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BT Brice Turang LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luis Rengifo SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CY Christian Yelich LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-17 game page →