PITCHER MATCHUP

Gavin Williams vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gavin Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gavin Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Curveball 22%Sinker 11%Cutter 10%Slider 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gavin Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →