PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.