PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .264vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Curveball 31%Changeup 19%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.