PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.