PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Curveball 31%Changeup 19%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.