PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.