PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .269vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 19%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-24 game page →