PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.