PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.