PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .264vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 19%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →