PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WW Weston Wilson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Leo Rivas SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JP Jhonny Pereda RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jhonny Pereda
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.