PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.