PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Curveball 31%Changeup 19%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .404
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CS Cam Smith RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jake Meyers RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Meyers
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →