PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.