PITCHER MATCHUP

Framber Valdez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Framber Valdez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Framber Valdez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .264vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Curveball 31%Changeup 19%Slider 4%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Framber Valdez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .407
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.