PITCHER MATCHUP
Foster Griffin vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Foster Griffin's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 16%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%Curveball 8%Splitter 6%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
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8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.