PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%Curveball 10%Splitter 6%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →