PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026
Cutter 30%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 15%Sinker 11%Changeup 10%Curveball 10%Splitter 6%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 IC Isaac Collins SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →