PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Splitter 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-23 game page →