PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%Curveball 10%Splitter 6%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.