PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 14%Changeup 10%Curveball 10%Sinker 10%Splitter 6%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-03 game page →