PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Splitter 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.