PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026
Cutter 30%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 15%Sinker 11%Curveball 10%Changeup 10%Splitter 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Colton Cowser LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →