PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%Curveball 10%Splitter 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.