PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .264vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Curveball 10%Sinker 10%Splitter 6%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .454 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →