PITCHER MATCHUP
Foster Griffin vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Foster Griffin's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Splitter 6%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 662 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.