PITCHER MATCHUP
Foster Griffin vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Foster Griffin's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 16%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%Curveball 8%Splitter 6%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
-
1 MO Matt Olson LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 AR Austin Riley RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Cutter (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.