PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%Curveball 10%Splitter 6%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .379
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.