PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026
Cutter 31%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 15%Changeup 10%Curveball 10%Sinker 10%Splitter 6%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .217 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →