PITCHER MATCHUP

Foster Griffin vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Foster Griffin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Foster Griffin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 15%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Splitter 6%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Foster Griffin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.