PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 6%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EQ Edgar Quero SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →