PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 30%Sinker 23%Changeup 9%Curveball 4%Sweeper 3%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.