PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 7%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.