PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 6%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-24 game page →