PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 30%Sinker 23%Changeup 9%Curveball 4%Sweeper 3%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.