PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 6%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.