PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 32%Sinker 23%Changeup 5%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 IK Isiah Kiner-Falefa RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isiah Kiner-Falefa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.