PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 7%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 639 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AR Adley Rutschman SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Trevor Story RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Mickey Gasper SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Gasper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.