PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 6%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →