PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 8%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 637 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.