PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 6%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →