PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 7%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.