PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 30%Sinker 23%Changeup 8%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .400
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.