PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Rasmussen vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Rasmussen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Rasmussen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 31%Sinker 23%Changeup 6%Curveball 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Rasmussen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .400
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.