PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 15%Curveball 12%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .380
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .454 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.