PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 15%Curveball 12%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.