PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →