PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →