PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .356Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 13%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →