PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .356Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 15%Curveball 12%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 708 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.