PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .357Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 653 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.