PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .357Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PA Pete Alonso RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →