PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.