PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .355Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 13%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WC William Contreras RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BT Brice Turang LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →