PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 15%Curveball 12%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-14 game page →