PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.