PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Josh Smith LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.