PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .357Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →