PITCHER MATCHUP

David Peterson vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Peterson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

David Peterson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .356Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Slider 21%Changeup 15%Curveball 12%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Peterson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.