PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 26%Slider 24%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Knuckle Curve 9%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.