PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 26%Sinker 23%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Knuckle Curve 8%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →