PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 26%Slider 24%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Knuckle Curve 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.