PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 26%Sinker 23%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Knuckle Curve 8%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-29 game page →