PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 26%Slider 24%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Knuckle Curve 9%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.