PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 25%Slider 24%Changeup 23%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Knuckle Curve 9%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 632 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AF Alex Freeland SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WS Will Smith RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.