PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 26%Slider 24%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Knuckle Curve 9%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.