PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Lynch IV vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Lynch IV's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 25%Sinker 24%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Knuckle Curve 9%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Lynch IV, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 632 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →