PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Espino vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Espino's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Espino's arsenal

Throws RHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 62%Slider 31%Curveball 7%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Espino, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-24 game page →