PITCHER MATCHUP

Daniel Espino vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Daniel Espino's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Daniel Espino's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 66%Slider 28%Curveball 7%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Daniel Espino, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (66% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.