PITCHER MATCHUP

Cristian Javier vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cristian Javier's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cristian Javier's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Sweeper 25%Changeup 18%Knuckle Curve 5%Sinker 4%Cutter 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cristian Javier, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →